Principles of Bank Valuation  747 on deposits or loans. But the taxation of the interest income that the mismatch generates has an impact on value, which should be included in the economic spread on loans. Note that the tax result on the maturity mismatch could be positive in the (unlikely) case that a bank’s loans have a shorter maturity than its deposits. The TMM (in millions of dollars) for ABC Bank’s loans in 2019 is calculated as follows: TMM = × − ( ) = − ( ) = T L k k L D 30 1 133 7 5 1 4 6 1 7 %( , . ) . % . % . The after-tax economic spread on loans is then derived as: SAT = − − − = 15 9 1 30 8 2 . ( %) . . . 1 3 1 7 This number represents the dollar amount of value (in millions) created by ABC’s loan business. Along the same lines, we can define the economic spread for ABC Bank’s deposit products as well (see Exhibit 38.8). Our analysis ex- plicitly includes the spread on deposits because banks (in contrast to indus- trial companies) aim to create value in their funding operations. For example, ABC Bank created value for its shareholders in its deposit business in 2019 because it attracted deposits at a 4.3 percent interest rate, below the 4.6 percent rate for traded bonds with the same high credit rating as ABC had.12 EXHIBIT 38.8  ABC Bank: Historical Economic Spread by Product Line $ million 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Loans interest rate, % 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.5 6.5 Matched-opportunity rate (MOR), % 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.1 Loans relative economic spread, % 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.4 Loans book value1 1,000.0 1,030.0 1,063.5 1,097.5 1,133.7 Loans economic spread before taxes 15.0 15.5 16.0 11.0 15.9 Taxes on economic spread (4.5) (4.6) (4.8) (3.3) (4.8) Tax penalty on equity and maturity mismatch (2.1) (3.1) (3.8) (4.5) (3.0) Loans economic spread2 8.4 7.8 7.4 3.2 8.2 Deposits interest rate, % 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.3 Matched-opportunity rate (MOR), % 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.6 Deposits spread, % – –0.1 –0.1 – 0.3 Deposits book value1 960.0 988.8 999.7 1,009.7 1,043.0 Deposits economic spread2 – (0.7) (0.7) – 2.2 1 Beginning of year. 2 After taxes. 12 Note that the spread for deposits does not include a tax charge for maturity mismatch and equity risk capital; these are included in the spread for loans. 748  Banks When comparing the spread across ABC product lines over the past few years, we can immediately see that most of the value created comes from its lending business. In fact, ABC was not making any money on its deposit funding from 2015 to 2019, as shown by the zero or negative spreads in those years. From our calculations of the economic spreads of the two businesses, it is possible to rearrange the value driver tree from the equity DCF approach shown previously in Exhibit 38.5. In the revised value driver tree shown in Ex- hibit 38.9, the key drivers are virtually identical but highlight some important messages about value creation for banks: • Interest income on assets creates value only if the interest rate exceeds the cost of capital for those assets (i.e., the matched-opportunity rate) by more than the taxes on any maturity mismatch. • Changes in the capital ratio affect value creation only through the tax penalty on equity. • Growth adds value only if the economic spread from the additional product sold is positive and sufficient to cover any operating expenses. Figure 38.9  Generic Value Driver Tree for Retail Banking: Economic Spread Spread liabilities1 Value creation Operating expenses1 Growth Spread assets1 Tax penalty Interest rate liabilities1 Interest rate assets1 Additions to loan loss provisions1 Liabilities Assets Cost/income 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2 7 3 6 MOR liabilities Equity Tax rate MOR assets 5 Capital ratio 4 Key value drivers Interest rates on products Volumes: Book values of assets and liabilities outstanding Cost-to-income ratio: Operating costs of business relative to net interest income Capital ratio: Equity requirements for assets outstanding Cost of capital: Cost of capital (MOR) across product lines Growth: Growth of assets and liabilities Loan losses: Expected future losses on loans outstanding 1 After taxes.