194  Frameworks for Valuation goodwill. If you measure ROIC without goodwill, you must also mea- sure invested capital without goodwill. All told, it doesn’t matter how you define invested capital, as long as you are consistent. • Use a constant cost of capital to discount projections. Exhibit 10.14 presents the valuation results for GlobalCo using dis- counted economic profit. Economic profits are explicitly forecast for three years; the remaining years are valued using an economic-profit continuing- value formula.11 Comparing the equity value from Exhibit 10.4 with that of Exhibit 10.14, we see that the estimate of GlobalCo’s DCF value is the same, regardless of the method. The benefits of economic profit become apparent when we examine the drivers of economic profit, ROIC and WACC, on a year-by-year basis in Exhibit 10.14. Note that the valuation is contingent on returns that exceed the EXHIBIT 10.14  GlobalCo: Valuation Using Discounted Economic Profit $ million, except where noted Year Invested capital1 ROIC,1 % WACC, % Economic profit Discount factor at 7.8% Present value of economic profit Year 1 348.0 17.2 (7.8) 32.9 0.928 30.5 Year 2 410.0 16.8 (7.8) 37.0 0.861 31.9 Year 3 456.5 15.9 (7.8) 36.8 0.798 29.4 Continuing value 701.8 0.798 560.3 Present value of economic profit 652.0 Invested capital including goodwill1 348.0 Value of operations   1,000.0 Nonoperating assets         – Enterprise value         1,000.0 Less: Value of debt (250.0) Less: Value of noncontrolling interest – Equity value 750.0 1 Invested capital measured at the beginning of the year with goodwill and acquired intangibles. 11 To calculate continuing value, you can use the economic-profit-based key value driver formula, but only if RONIC equals ROIC in the continuing-value year. If RONIC going forward differs from the final year’s ROIC, then the equation must be separated into current and future economic profits: Value IC IC ROIC WACC WACC PV Economic Profit WACC t t t t t = + − ( ) + ( ) + + 1 2 −g Current Economic Profits Future Economic Profits such that: PV Economic Profit NOPAT RONIC RONIC WACC WACC t t g + + ( ) =     − ( ) 2 1 For more on these and other continuing value formulas, see Chapter 14. Adjusted-Present-Value Model  195 cost of capital but drop over time as new competitors enter and put pressure on operating margins. Explicitly modeling ROIC as a primary driver of eco- nomic profit prominently displays expectations of value creation. Conversely, the FCF model fails to highlight when a company creates and destroys value. Free cash flow combines ROIC and growth, two critical but very different value drivers. Also note how GlobalCo’s high ROIC—double its cost of capital—leads to an operating value that exceeds the book value of its invested capital ($1 bil- lion versus $348 million). When investors believe a company will create value, enterprise value will be greater than invested capital. Adjusted-Present-Value Model When building an enterprise DCF or economic-profit valuation, most invest- ment professionals discount all future flows at a constant WACC. Using a constant WACC, however, assumes the company manages its capital structure to a target debt-to-value ratio. In most situations, debt grows with company value. But suppose the com- pany planned to change its capital structure significantly, as in a leveraged buyout. Indeed, companies with a high proportion of debt often pay it down as cash flow improves, thus lowering their future debt-to-value ratios. In these cases, a valuation based on a constant WACC would overstate the value of the tax shields. Although the WACC can be adjusted yearly to handle a changing capital structure, the process is complex. Therefore, we turn to the most flex- ible of valuation models: adjusted present value (APV). The APV model separates the value of operations into two components: the value of operations as if the company were all-equity financed and the value of tax shields that arise from debt financing:12 Adjusted Present Value Enterprise Value as if the Company Were All- = Equity Financed Present Value of Tax Shields + The APV valuation model follows directly from the teachings of economists Franco Modigliani and Merton Miller, who proposed that in a market with no taxes (among other things), a company’s choice of financial structure will not affect the value of its economic assets. Only market imperfections, such as taxes and distress costs, affect enterprise value. When building a valuation model, it is easy to forget these teachings. To see this, imagine a company (in a world with no taxes) that has a 50/50 mix 12 This book focuses on the tax shields generated by interest expense. On a more general basis, the APV values any cash flows associated with capital structure, such as tax shields, issuance costs, and distress costs. Distress costs include direct costs, such as court-related fees, and indirect costs, such as the loss of wary customers and suppliers.