876  Index Share repurchases, 44–46, 233, 633, 635, 654–659 EPS growth, 111 Shiller, Robert, 99 Short-termism, 6–9 Siemens, 217, 616–617, 625, 628 Simplified intermediate forecast, 260 Single-path DCF, 761 Social responsibility, 11–12 Sodexo, 12, 248–249, 251 Solvency, 820–821 Spin-offs, 626, 627–628 Split-offs, 626, 627 Stability bias, 576 Stafford, Erik, 589–590 Stakeholder interests, 11–14 Statement on the Purpose of a Corporation (Business Roundtable), 4, 12, 85 Staunton, Mike, 311, 312, 832 Stochastic simulation DCF, 761 Stock market, 99–126 bubbles, 103 (see also Financial crises) cross-listings, 121–122 diversification, 118–119 earnings (see Earnings per share (EPS)) fundamentals of, 100–109 index membership impact on company, 120–121 informed investors vs. noise investors, 100–101 market mechanics, 120 relationship of company size to value, 119–120 stock splits, 123–124 total returns to shareholders (see Total shareholder returns (TSR)) understanding expectations, 80–81 Stock splits, 123–124 Stranded costs, 623–624 Strategic health, 558 Strategic management analytics, 547­–569 adopting granular perspective, 548–550 monitoring results, 567–569 Risk: cash flow risk, 63–66 diversifiable vs. nondiversifiable, 774–777 exposure level, 63–66 hedging, 66–67 price of, 57–59 Risk-free rate, 312–314, 700 Risk-neutral valuation, 771–772 Risk-weighted assets (RWA), 753–755 Robotic process automation (RBA), 91, 94 Rockwell Automation, 35 ROIC. See Return on invested capital (ROIC) Roll-up strategies, 597–598 RONIC (return on new invested capital), 288, 289, 294, 298 Rossi, Stefano, 590 RSC, 46 Ruback, Richard, 199 Ryanair, 131 Sale-leaseback transactions, 48–49, 237 Sales productivity, 556 Sanofi Aventis, 536 Scalability of products/processes, 137–138 Scenario analysis, 60–61, 357, 362–366 Scenario DCF approach, 692–698, 709–710, 761 Scenario development, 719–720 Scenario weighting, 720 Scholes, Myron, 203 Securities and Exchange Commission, 69 Securitized receivables, 443 Sell-side analysts, 675 Sensitivity analysis, 357, 360–362 Service Corporation International, 597–598 Shareholder capitalism, 3, 9–11 Shareholder payouts, 651–658 Shareholder returns. See Total shareholder returns (TSR) Shareholder value creation, 5–6 Index  877 earnings guidance and, 682 enhanced approach to analyzing, 77 expectations treadmill, 70–73 impact of debt financing on, 79 key drivers of, 76 managerial implications, 81–82 as measure of management performance, 77–80 and spin-offs, 628 traditional approach to analyzing, 74–77 traditional vs. enhanced decomposition, 77 Tracking stock, 626, 630–631 Traders, 671, 672–673 Trade sales, 626 Transformational mergers, 598–599 Transparency, 676, 677–680 Triangulation, 703–707 TSR. See Total shareholder returns Tyco, 617, 618 Tyson Foods, 72–74, 79–80, 81 Uncertainty. See Flexibility Unilever, 87, 120, 129, 391, 513, 654 Unique resources, 136 United Parcel Service (UPS), 119, 120, 137, 214, 219, 224, 269, 382, 556 United Rentals, 46 Unlevered cost of equity, 805–807 Valero Energy, 536 Valuation by parts, 391–409 corporate overhead costs, 397–398 cost of capital, 404–406 enterprise to equity value buildup, 394–395 estimating invested capital, 403–404 estimating NOPAT, 402–404 financial subsidiaries, 401–402 individual unit financial statements, 396–404 intercompany receivables and payables, 400–401 intercompany sales and profits, 398–400 setting targets, 566–567 simpler alternative, 551–554 taking enterprise view, 550–551 three processes, 548 value drivers, 554–559, 569 value driver trees, 560–566, 569 mindsets, behaviors, and processes, 548, 571–584 debiased decision making, 576–580 spending to maximize value, 571 strong governance, 573–576 synchronized processes, 580–584 three elements, 572–573 Strategic vision, 611 Strategy, streamlined process in, 581 Subsidiaries, 190–191 Synchronized processes, 573, 580–584 Tapestry, 241 Target-setting, 566–567 Target weights, 328–331 Taxes, 413–426 deferred, 219–220, 423–425 forecasting, 272–273 operating, 413–423 (see also Operating taxes) provisions and, 441 Tax loss carryforwards, 218, 343–344 Tax-loss carryforwards, 424–425 Tax on a maturity mismatch (TMM), 746 Tax penalty on equity, 745 Tax shields, valuing, 198–199 Technology bubble, 102, 103, 108–109, 316, 317 Thaler, Richard, 99 Top-down forecasting, 265–267 Total debt, 271 Total funds invested computing, 216–218 reconciling, 218–221 Total shareholder return (TSR), 6, 69–82 correlation with employment growth, 14 decomposing, 74–80 defined, 69 diversification and, 539