864  Index dynamic portfolio management, 535–537 ownership and value creation, 529–533 Cost and capital efficiency advantages, 135 Costco, 28, 35, 180, 205, 210–231, 234– 237, 240–245, 255–257, 265, 307, 316–326, 330, 452–453, 835–856 Cost of capital, 55–59, 305–333. See also Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) beta, 316–321 capital structure, 328–332 in emerging markets, 698–700 estimating cost of debt, 324–328 below-investment-grade debt, 326–327 bond ratings and yield to maturity, 324–326 interest tax shield, 327–328 estimating cost of equity, 308–324 adjusting for industry/company risk, 314–315 arbitrage pricing theory, 323–324 capital asset pricing model (CAPM), 58–59, 315–322, 315–322 Fama-French three-factor model, 322–323 market return, 308–314 estimating in foreign currency, 512–520 lack of control, 57–60 in multiple business units, 404–406 for operating leases, 450 as opportunity cost, 56–57 for pension obligations, 462–464 target weights, 328–331 Cost of debt, estimating, 324–328 Cost of equity: capital asset pricing model (CAPM), 315–322 Contingent valuation. See Decision tree analysis (DTA); Real- option valuation (ROV) Continuing value (CV) estimation, 285–303 asset-based valuations, 302 Costco, 852 discounted cash flow approaches, 299–301 aggressive growth formula, 300 convergence formula, 299–300 key value driver formula, 286– 288 recommended formula, 286–288 economic profit valuation formula, 289–290 key value driver formula, 186–187 misunderstandings about, 291–296 effect of forecast length on value, 291–293 length of competitive advantage period, 294–296 multiples (comparables), 301–302 pitfalls in, 296–298 naive base-year extrapolation, 296–298 naive overconservatism, 298 purposeful overconservatism, 298 two-stage formula, 857–858 Convergence formula, 299–300 Conversion value, 349 Convertible bonds/preferred stock, 348–352 Corporate growth. See Growth; Revenue growth Corporate Horizon Index, 4 Corporate portfolio strategy, 527–546 acquisitions and divestitures, 535–537 best-owner life cycle, 533–534 constructing a portfolio of businesses, 541–545 diversification, 537–540 Index  865 forward rate vs. spot rate, 508– 512 incorporating currency risk in valuation, 518–520 translation approaches, 521–523 risk, 66–67 Customer experience, in digital initiatives, 94–95 Customer lock-in, 133–134 Cyclical companies, 725–732 forecasting for, 727–730 management implications, 731–732 share price behavior, 725–730 earnings forecasts, 727–730 market and DCF valuations, 725–727 valuation approach, 730–731 Data, in forecasting, 260–261 Debt: below-investment-grade, 326–327 changes in, 233 convertible, 660, 664 debt-to-value ratio, 331–332 defined, 219 enterprise DCF model, 190 estimating cost of, 324–328 valuing, 329–331, 344–346 Debt equivalents, 207, 219, 233, 346–348 Debt financing, 79, 660–661 Decision making in digital initiatives, 96–97 strategic management, 572, 576–580 Decision tree analysis (DTA), 761, 772–777, 784–788 Deferred gains, 237–238 Deferred taxes, 219–220, 277–278 Depreciation: accelerated, 421 in forecasting, 269–270 Derivative instruments, 662 Devil’s advocate, 577–578 Diageo, 529 emerging markets, 700 estimating, 308–324 (see also Cost of capital, estimating cost of equity) alternatives to capital asset pricing model (CAPM), 322– 324 beta and, 316–321(see also Beta) leverage and, 744–745 levered/unlevered, 196–198, 805– 812 Cost of goods sold (COGS), 268 Cost reduction in digital initiatives, 93–94 in ESG, 87–88 Costs, fixed vs. variable, 282 Cost structure health metrics, 557 Coughlin, Chris, 618 Country risk premium, 692–694, 697– 698, 701, 703, 706 Coverage, 819–821 Covidien, 617 Credit health, 253–257 Credit ratios, and inflation, 500 Credit risk, 753 Credit spreads, 650 Cross-border valuation, 507–524. See also Currency, foreign currency translation approaches, 521–523 estimating beta, 513–514 estimating cost of capital, 512–520 forecasting cash flows, 507–512 foreign currency risk, 518–520 Cross-listed shares, 121–122 Cross-subsidization, 618 Currency: effects on revenue growth, 231, 248–249 foreign (see also Cross-border valuation) forecasting cash flows, 507–512