Other Complications in Valuing Emerging-Markets Companies  701 Estimating the After-Tax Cost of Debt In most emerging economies, there are no liquid markets for corporate bonds, so little or no market information is available to estimate the cost of debt. However, from a global investor’s perspective, the cost of debt in local currency should simply equal the sum of the dollar (or euro) risk-free rate, the systematic part of the credit spread (which depends on the debt’s beta; see the section titled “Estimating the After-Tax Cost of Debt in Chapter 15), and the inflation differ- ential between local currency and dollars (or euros). Most of the country risk can be diversified away in a global bond portfolio. Therefore, the systematic part of the default risk is probably no larger than that of companies in inter- national markets, and the cost of debt should not include a separate country risk premium.8 Furthermore, companies in countries like Brazil often hold large amounts of cash to provide liquidity and minimize their net debt. The marginal tax rate in emerging markets can be very different from the effective tax rate, which often includes investment tax credits, export tax cred- its, taxes, equity or dividend credits, and operating loss credits. Few of these arrangements provide a tax shield on interest expense, and only those few should be incorporated in the after-tax-cost-of-debt component of the WACC. Other taxes or credits should be modeled directly in the cash flows. Estimating Capital Structure and WACC Having estimated the cost of equity and after-tax cost of debt, we need debt and equity weights to derive an estimate of the weighted average cost of capi- tal. In emerging markets, many companies have unusual capital structures compared with their international peers. One reason is, of course, the country risk: the possibility of macroeconomic distress makes companies more con- servative in setting their leverage. Another reason could be anomalies in the local debt or equity markets. In the long run, when the anomalies are cor- rected, the companies should expect to develop a capital structure similar to that of their global competitors. You could forecast explicitly how the com- pany evolves to a capital structure that is more like global standards. In that case, you should consider using the adjusted-present-value (APV) approach, discussed in Chapter 10. Other Complications in Valuing Emerging-Markets Companies Other complications that should be considered in valuing emerging-markets companies include consistent macroeconomic parameters, accounting differ- ences, nonoperating assets, and inefficient capital markets. 8 This explains why multinationals with extensive emerging-market portfolios—companies such as Coca-Cola and Colgate-Palmolive—have a cost of debt that is no higher than that of their mainly U.S.- focused competitors.