Summary  481 economic profit over revenues best reveals how ReturnCo performs relative to its peers in terms of value creation. As the exhibit shows, the increased capi- tal efficiency is roughly offset by the discount provided: ReturnCo’s ratio of economic profit to revenues is very similar to those of its peers. At first sight, ReturnCo’s ROIC appeared superior, but a closer look has revealed that its value creation is in line with that of its peers. In general, when you are comparing the performance of businesses with very different capital intensity and size, using economic profit over revenues provides the best insights into performance and value creation. Summary For most businesses, ROIC is a good measure of return on capital. However, for businesses that rely on significant investments in intangibles, such as R&D or brands, you should make some adjustments to ROIC to include the capital- ized value of these resources. For businesses that use very little or no capital, economic profit is a better measure of value creation. To allow for comparison across businesses of different sizes, you can scale economic profit by revenues. 483 25 Alternative Ways to Measure Return on Capital Valuations often assume that historical return on capital is a good starting point for projecting future returns as a company grows. But if historical return on capital is measured in a way that gives us no meaningful information about value creation, decisions about whether to continue investing in a business may be incorrect. To be truly value based, the measure for return on capital should reflect the internal rate of return (IRR) of the underlying business from the time investments are made until all the cash flows from that investment have been collected. That’s not possible in practice, because we can’t wait until the end of every project to assess a company’s performance; a business is an accumulation of different investments made at different times. So we need a proxy that measures how much value a company has created in the recent past and that can help a company with the particularly important task of planning for the future. Return on invested capital (ROIC), our primary measure of return on capital, correctly reflects value creation in most cases. But ROIC has some imperfections. For example, it doesn’t account for the age of assets or the ef- fect that inflation has on its measurement. Analysts have therefore proposed alternatives to overcome some of ROIC’s weaknesses. One of these, cash flow return on investment (CFROI), is estimated from cash flows rather than from accounting measures. CFROI is the better measure of value creation in certain rare situations. This chapter explores the conditions under which ROIC accu- rately reflects the true economic return on capital and when to consider a more complex CFROI measure. We then look at some other alternatives and explain why they are flawed measures of value creation. As we compare these measures, note that all of them apply this impor- tant principle: any measure of return on capital should be based on the amount invested, not the current market value of the company or its assets. 484  Alternative Ways to Measure Return on Capital Take, for example, the case where the fair value of an asset is based on the intrinsic, discounted-cash-flow (DCF) value of its future cash flows. By definition, the return on capital for the asset at its fair value does not pro- vide any indication of an investment’s value creation in such assets. For a growing business, a return on capital measured against the DCF value will always be less than the cost of capital, because the DCF value reflects the value creation of future investments. When ROIC Equals IRR The simplest approach to measuring return on capital, which works well in most cases, is the one we use throughout this book: ROIC, or operating earn- ings divided by the net book value of a company’s operating capital (pur- chase cost less accumulated depreciation). To illustrate when ROIC accurately estimates the IRR of an asset and the business activities it supports, we will use a stylized example, shown in Exhibit 25.1. The initial investment is $100, and operating cash flows gradually decline over the asset’s five-year lifetime. With linear depreciation charges of $20, the operating profit is proportional to the net invested capital in each year, declining from $15 in the first year to $3 in the last. We define ROIC in a particular year as the operating profit for that year divided by the invested capital at the beginning of the year, net of accumulated depreciation (ignoring taxes for simplicity). In this example, the asset’s ROIC is constant over the asset’s lifetime at 15 percent. EXHIBIT 25.1  Returns When Profits Are Proportional to Net Invested Capital $   Individual asset Year Business of five assets   0 1 2 3 4 5 Operating cash flow (100) 35 32 29 26 23 145 Depreciation (20) (20) (20) (20) (20) (100) Operating profit 15 12 9 6 3 45   Gross invested capital1 100 100 100 100 100 500 Cumulative depreciation1 – (20) (40) (60) (80) (200) Net invested capital1 100 80 60 40 20 300 IRR, % 15.0 15.0 Cash return on gross invested capital, % 35.0 32.0 29.0 26.0 23.0 29.0 Cash return on net invested capital, % 35.0 40.0 48.3 65.0 115.0 48.3 ROIC, % 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 15.0 CFROI, % 22.1 18.0 13.8 9.4 4.8 13.8 | | ROIC is constant over asset lifetime. CFROI decreases over asset lifetime. ROIC = IRR CFROI < IRR 1 At beginning of year.