Capitalizing Expensed Investments  473 assets) does not materially affect perceptions of performance: for PharmaCo, ROIC would be 8.9 percent for a 12-year life, versus 9.4 percent for an eight-year life. This pattern remains unchanged when R&D spending is much lower—for ex- ample, at only 10 percent of revenues. Furthermore, when using ROIC to compare the performance of competing companies, what matters most is that asset lifetime estimates are consistent across all companies. Keep in mind that the lifetimes for tangible assets are also based on rough estimates and accounting conventions. Yet most managers and analysts are quite comfortable using tangible-asset book values and depreciation charges as the basis for return on capital and earnings.7 Interpreting Return on Capital, Including Capitalized Expenses In general, capitalizing intangible investments will lead to lower ROIC. For mature companies with stable revenues and investment spending, the amor- tization charges for intangible assets are likely to be close to the amounts expensed. As a result, capitalizing the expenses may have little impact on NOPAT. But the capital base will always increase when the expenses are capi- talized, leading to lower ROIC. Although the capitalization can never change historical free cash flows, as discussed in the PharmaCo example, the resulting adjustments to capital turn- over and ROIC can affect projections of future free cash flows. For PharmaCo, required investments in R&D to achieve growth of 10 percent per year would be estimated at $375 million in 2021, which is $113 million more than the $262 million spent in 2020. This follows from required growth of the net R&D asset base (10 percent, or $167 million) plus an annual amortization charge of $208 million (one-eighth of the 2020 ending balance). When R&D investments going forward would be modeled as expenses, the required additional R&D outlay in 2021 would be only 10 percent of the additional 2021 revenues, or $26 mil- lion. This is comparable to what happens to investment projections if capital expenditures for tangible assets are derived from a constant ratio to revenues or instead implied from a constant capital turnover (see Chapter 13). If PharmaCo can increase its revenues by 10 percent as a result of increas- ing its R&D expenses by 10 percent, the unadjusted ROIC provides the best es- timate of the IRR of future investments in its business. In contrast, if achieving that same revenue growth would require PharmaCo to increase its net R&D asset base, rather than its R&D expenses, by 10 percent, the adjusted ROIC is the better estimate. Of course, these R&D investment estimates for PharmaCo are not likely to apply from year to year. What matters is which R&D invest- ments are required for growth over the long term. More accurately reflecting the economics of intangible investments on ROIC can have major implications for investment decisions, performance 7 Note also that for an alternative measure of ROIC, such as cash flow return on investment (CFROI) with or without resource capitalization, estimates of asset lifetimes are critical—not for book value or depreciation, but for estimating the CFROI itself (see Chapter 25). 474  Measuring Performance in Capital-Light Businesses assessments, resource allocation, and competitive behavior. For instance, if the cost of capital is 10 percent, PharmaCo is in fact destroying value, and man- agement should question continued investment. Competitors should question the validity of entering the company’s product markets. The margins may be high, but required investments in R&D are large. To illustrate the impact of capitalizing intangibles on estimates of ROIC and perspectives on value creation, we analyzed past spending on research and advertising over a ten-year period for four global companies in branded con- sumer goods. After the estimated past expenses in R&D and advertising were capitalized and amortized, ROIC for all companies decreased significantly and also provided a very different ranking of performance, as shown in the top portion of Exhibit 24.7. A similar analysis of ROIC including capitalized EXHIBIT 24.7  Impact of Adjusting ROIC for Intangible Investments % ROIC ROIC adjusted for intangible investments 61 21 60 17 45 12 41 15 36 16 9 8 4 3 2 1 Branded-consumer- goods companies 22 32 131 48 106 25 67 30 53 22 48 15 42 7 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 High-technology companies 6 62