6  Why Value Value? drafty. Unless the seller discloses those facts, a potential buyer may have great difficulty detecting them, even with the help of a professional house inspector. Despite such challenges, the evidence strongly suggests that companies with a long strategic horizon create more value than those run with a short- term mindset. Banks that had the insight and courage to forgo short-term profits during the last decade’s real-estate bubble, for example, earned much better total shareholder returns (TSR) over the longer term. In fact, when we studied the patterns of investment, growth, earnings quality, and earnings management of hundreds of companies across multiple industries between 2001 and 2014, we found that companies whose focus was more on the long term generated superior TSR, with a 50 percent greater likelihood of being in the top decile or top quartile by the end of that 14-year period.6 In separate research, we’ve found that long-term revenue growth—particularly organic revenue growth—is the most important driver of shareholder returns for com- panies with high returns on capital.7 What’s more, investments in research and development (R&D) correlate powerfully with long-term TSR.8 Managers who create value for the long term do not take actions to in- crease today’s share price if those actions will damage the company down the road. For example, they don’t shortchange product development, reduce product quality, or skimp on safety. When considering investments, they take into account likely future changes in regulation or consumer behavior, espe- cially with regard to environmental and health issues. Today’s managers face volatile markets, rapid executive turnover, and intense performance pres- sures, so making long-term value-creating decisions requires courage. But the fundamental task of management and the board is to demonstrate that cour- age, despite the short-term consequences, in the name of value creation for the collective interests of shareholders, now and in the future. Short-Termism Runs Deep Despite overwhelming evidence linking intrinsic investor preferences to long-term value creation,9 too many managers continue to plan and execute strategy—and then report their performance—against shorter-term measures, particularly earnings per share (EPS). 6 Measuring the Economic Impact of Short-Termism, McKinsey Global Institute, February 2017, www .mckinsey.com. 7 B. Jiang and T. Koller, “How to Choose between Growth and ROIC,” McKinsey on Finance, no. 25 (Autumn 2007): 19–22, www.mckinsey.com. However, we didn’t find the same relationship for compa- nies with low returns on capital. 8 We’ve performed the same analyses for 15 and 20 years and with different start and end dates, and we’ve always found similar results. 9 R. N. Palter, W. Rehm, and J. Shih, “Communicating with the Right Investors,” McKinsey Quarterly (April 2008), www.mckinsey.com. Chapter 34 of this book also examines the behaviors of intrinsic and other investor types.