bravely cried out, “I can’t tell a lie, Pa; you know I can’t tell a lie. I did cut it with my hatchet.”11 This little story is widely remembered in the United States today as a moral lesson. A search on “I can’t tell a lie” and “Washington” gets 188,000 Google hits, over a third as many as “I can’t tell a lie” by itself. This Washington story is on its way to usurping a basic sentence. Why is it such a contagious story? It must be because it is about the first president of the United States, and it has patriotic appeal. In that context, it is a great narrative; about almost anyone else, it would be nothing. There isn’t much to the story, just that as a child Washington didn’t lie. “I can’t tell a lie” and “Lincoln” gets 102,000 hits on Google, as the equally famous President Lincoln is introduced into the story and sometimes even substituted for Washington. The story, involving two legendary US figures, is part of a constellation of economic narratives about honesty. Those narratives seem to be part of a tradition of honesty, not unique to the United States but maybe stronger than in some other countries, that has likely helped propel the US economy by creating trust in business dealings and by limiting bribery and corruption. Often, the basic human-interest element of an economic narrative is embodied in somewhat different stories going viral at about the same time. Different versions of the narrative substitute different celebrities who are appropriate for the target audience. For new narratives involving celebrities, there are already familiar narratives about the celebrities in memory, which can enhance contagion.12 The constellation of narratives built around celebrities is self- reinforcing. In extreme cases, the celebrities attain superhuman status, and associated ideas begin to seem natural and obvious. George Washington’s picture is on every one-dollar bill and on every quarter-dollar coin in the United States. Sometimes, everyday people coin apt or pithy quotes, but those quotes become contagious only after the story is altered to substitute the name of a famous person as the originator of the quote. For example, since the middle of the twentieth century the socialist slogan “From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs” has been attributed to Karl Marx. Actually, those words were emphasized by socialist philosopher Louis Blanc in 1851, when Marx was virtually unknown, and a variation of the phrase appears in the Bible.13 Louis Blanc was more famous than Marx until after 1900, but today he is largely forgotten. Thus the quote became attributed to Marx in the mid-twentieth century, by unknown persons who started a mutated epidemic by attaching a new celebrity to it. The website Wikiquotes tracks down the origins of famous quotes, and typically the famous person was quoting someone else, if he or she even said it at all. But, no matter: Wikiquotes notwithstanding, the story of the quote’s true source will never go viral because it is not contagious. And contagion is the all- important element: if the narratives are not repeated in human communications, they will be gradually forgotten. Narratives involving celebrities can suddenly lose their contagion if some event discredits the celebrity, whether or not the ideas in the narrative are true or good. As we’ve seen, the choice of celebrities has patriotic dimensions, as people have a preference for individuals in their own country or their own ethnic group. This preference helps to explain why the epidemic spread of narratives is often not seen or acknowledged. To acknowledge it typically requires admitting its foreign origin. Practically no one has an incentive to present an idea as coming from abroad, except in unusual circumstances. Thus we have the illusion that important ideas came spontaneously to a compatriot, and we see nothing of the idea’s true world epidemic. Beyond celebrities, there are issues of party or regional or religious loyalty. Patriotism does not mean just flag-waving assertions of loyalty. It is also the feeling that only in our own country does anything important, good or bad, happen. For example, CBS News in the United States has a regular morning feature, “Your World in 90 Seconds,” that purports to tell you very succinctly everything you need to know about today’s news. But the name is inaccurate because the report doesn’t cover the world. Virtually all of the news stories are from the United States (with the exception of tidbits about the British royal family and Vladimir Putin). Maybe the title is accurate for many of the Americans who think that the United States is the world, despite having only 5% of the world’s population. We have seen seven key propositions with respect to economic narratives: 1. Epidemics can be fast or slow, big or small. The timetable and magnitude of epidemics can vary widely. 2. Important economic narratives may comprise a very small percentage of popular talk. Narratives may be rarely heard and still economically important. 3. Narrative constellations have more impact than any one narrative. Constellations matter. 4. The economic impact of narratives may change through time. Changing details matter as narratives evolve over time. 5. Truth is not enough to stop false narratives. Truth matters, but only if it is in-your-face obvious. 6. Contagion of economic narratives builds on opportunities for repetition. Reinforcement matters. 7. Economic narratives thrive on human interest, identity, and patriotism. Human interest, identity, and patriotism matter. In part III, we use these seven propositions as a framework to look at historically important economic narratives, to identify what we can learn from economic narratives and their consequences in the real world. Part III Perennial Economic Narratives