Of Scripts and Rolling Suitcases According to psychologists Roger C. Schank and Robert P. Abelson, narratives may be seen as nothing more than scripts.18 These scripts are also called social norms, and they partially govern our activities, including our economic actions. For example, the “prudent person rule” in finance is one social norm with economic impact. Fiduciaries and experts do not have the right to act on their own judgment. Instead, they must instead mimic a “prudent person,” which in effect means following a script.19 When in doubt about how to behave in an ambiguous situation, people may think back to narratives and adopt a role they have heard of, as if they are acting in a play they have seen before. We can debate whether such behavior is rational. In one sense it is rational to copy the behavior of apparently successful people, even if one does not see any logic in the behavior. Those being copied might have mysterious or unobserved reasons for such behavior, and their success suggests they have at least stumbled onto an advantageous behavior. But traditional economic theory does not model this kind of rationality. It sees the following of others’ behavior as more reflexive, not as a thoughtful application of the principle “When in doubt, imitate.” This reflexivity does not generally follow the typical economic assumption that people attempt to maximize their utility based on all available information. On the contrary, following scripts set by others often looks like quite stupid behavior. People often fail to notice ideas if those ideas are not part of a script or are not packaged well enough. In my 2003 book The New Financial Order, I argued that some obvious financial inventions have not been adopted anywhere, and I asked: Why? As an analogy, I gave the example of wheeled suitcases. These did not become popular until the 1990s, when a Northwest Airlines pilot, Robert Plath, invented his Rollaboard with both wheels and a rigid handle that can collapse into the suitcase. An earlier version of the wheeled suitcase by Bernard Sadow in 1972 had achieved only limited acceptance. The traveler pulled it along by a leather strap, and it worked moderately well, though not perfectly because it tended to flop over sideways. Still, it was a big improvement over nonwheeled suitcases. Sadow had great difficulty getting his wheeled suitcase accepted in the market. Nobody was interested, but why? The idea was good, and today almost every traveler owns Rollaboards or their descendants. Most people wouldn’t even think about buying a suitcase without wheels. Years after The New Financial Order was published, I received an email from a former patent examiner who told me of a wheeled trunk patent in 1887, and it looks like much the same idea.20 But I could not find it advertised in newspapers of that era. I later found a 1951 article by John Allan May, who recounted his efforts to manufacture and sell a wheeled suitcase starting in 1932. May wrote: And they laughed. I was very serious about it. But they laughed, the whole lot of them. When I spoke to any group about the further application of the theory of wheels they would express themselves as vastly entertained in a kind of soporific way. (Why not make full use of the wheel? Why haven’t we fitted people with wheels?) … I calculate I have outlined the wheeled suitcase idea to 125 groups of people and possibly 1,500 individuals. My wife tired of hearing about it back in 1937. The only man who ever took me seriously was an inventor who lived for a time a couple of houses away. The trouble was, nobody took him seriously.21 I have never understood why the wheeled-suitcase idea wasn’t absolutely contagious. My best guess is that, with Plath’s invention, glamour overcame the sense that wheels on a suitcase looked ridiculous. Its 1991 newspaper ads attached the Rollaboard narrative to airlines, which seemed much more glamorous in the 1990s than they do today: It’s pilot-designed and approved for carry-on aboard most airlines. With its built-in wheels and retractable handle you can roll it through the airport, aboard the plane and down the aisle.22 The epidemic was fueled when flight crews adopted the Rollaboards, and passengers saw these glamorous-looking people walking through airports, pulling their Rollaboards effortlessly behind them. By 1993, the ads for Rollaboards took advantage of this publicity, citing them as the “first choice of aircrews worldwide.” Maybe that is all it took to make a good idea, over a hundred years old, suddenly contagious.