101 THE CHANGING WORLD ORDER A P P E N D I X COMPUTER ANALYSIS OF THE CONDITIONS OF, AND PROSPECTS FOR, THE WORLD’S LEADING COUNTRIES UNITED STATES—KEY DRIVERS OF OUR COUNTRY POWER SCORE Overall Empire Score (0–1) Level: 0.87 Rank: 1 The Big Cycles Level Z-Score Rank Trajectory Economic/Financial Position Unfavorable -1.7 10 Debt Burden High Debt -1.8 11 Expected Growth 1.1% -0.7 4 Internal Order High Risk -1.8 11 Wealth/Opportunity/Values Gap Large -1.6 9 Internal Conflict Very High -2.0 10 External Order At Risk Eight Key Measures of Power Markets & Financial Center Very Strong 2.6 1 Innovation & Technology Very Strong 2.0 1 Education Very Strong 2.0 1 Military Strength Very Strong 1.9 1 Reserve Currency Status Very Strong 1.7 1 Economic Output Very Strong 1.7 2 Trade Strong 1.1 3 Cost Competitiveness Average -0.4 6 Additional Measures of Power Geology Strong 1.4 2 Resource-Allocation Efficiency Strong 1.3 2 Infrastructure & Investment Strong 0.7 2 Character/Determination/Civility Strong 1.1 3 Governance/Rule of Law Strong 0.7 5 Acts of Nature Average -0.2 9 Getting better Getting worse Flat 102 THE CHANGING WORLD ORDER CHINA—KEY DRIVERS OF OUR COUNTRY POWER SCORE Overall Empire Score (0–1) Level: 0.75 Rank: 2 The Big Cycles Level Z-Score Rank Trajectory Economic/Financial Position Somewhat Favorable 0.4 3 Debt Burden Low Debt 0.3 4 Expected Growth 4.3% 0.4 2 Internal Order Moderate Risk -0.1 7 Wealth/Opportunity/Values Gap Relatively Large -0.4 8 Internal Conflict Average 0.2 5 External Order At Risk Eight Key Measures of Power Trade Very Strong 1.8 1 Economic Output Very Strong 1.8 1 Education Strong 1.6 2 Innovation & Technology Strong 1.5 2 Cost Competitiveness Strong 1.2 2 Military Strength Strong 1.0 2 Markets & Financial Center Average 0.4 2 Reserve Currency Status Weak -0.7 5 Additional Measures of Power Infrastructure & Investment Very Strong 2.7 1 Character/Determination/Civility Strong 1.5 1 Geology Strong 0.9 3 Resource-Allocation Efficiency Average 0.0 7 Governance/Rule of Law Weak -0.7 8 Acts of Nature Average -0.1 8 Getting better Getting worse Flat 103 THE CHANGING WORLD ORDER EUROZONE—KEY DRIVERS OF OUR COUNTRY POWER SCORE Overall Empire Score (0–1) Level: 0.55 Rank: 3 The Big Cycles Level Z-Score Rank Trajectory Economic/Financial Position Moderately Unfavorable -0.9 6 Debt Burden Moderately High Debt -0.3 6 Expected Growth 0.3% -1.0 8 Internal Order Low Risk 0.3 5 Wealth/Opportunity/Values Gap Typical 0.3 6 Internal Conflict Average 0.4 4 External Order Eight Key Measures of Power Trade Strong 1.3 2 Reserve Currency Status Average 0.1 2 Economic Output Strong 0.6 3 Markets & Financial Center Average 0.4 3 Innovation & Technology Average 0.4 3 Education Average 0.3 3 Military Strength Average 0.3 4 Cost Competitiveness Weak -0.6 8 Additional Measures of Power Infrastructure & Investment Average 0.2 3 Geology Average -0.4 5 Governance/Rule of Law Average -0.4 7 Resource-Allocation Efficiency Weak -0.8 9 Character/Determination/Civility Weak -1.0 10 Acts of Nature Average 0.0 5 Getting better Getting worse Flat 104 THE CHANGING WORLD ORDER GERMANY—KEY DRIVERS OF OUR COUNTRY POWER SCORE Overall Empire Score (0–1) Level: 0.37 Rank: 4 The Big Cycles Level Z-Score Rank Trajectory Economic/Financial Position Somewhat Favorable 0.4 4 Debt Burden Low Debt 1.6 1 Expected Growth 0.3% -1.0 9 Internal Order Low Risk 0.7 3 Wealth/Opportunity/Values Gap Narrow 0.7 3 Internal Conflict Low 0.7 3 External Order Eight Key Measures of Power Trade Strong 0.6 4 Economic Output Average -0.1 4 Innovation & Technology Average -0.1 5 Education Average -0.2 5 Markets & Financial Center Average -0.2 6 Military Strength Weak -0.6 9 Cost Competitiveness Weak -0.6 10 Reserve Currency Status Additional Measures of Power Resource-Allocation Efficiency Strong 0.6 3 Governance/Rule of Law Strong 0.7 4 Infrastructure & Investment Average -0.3 7 Character/Determination/Civility Average -0.5 8 Geology Weak -0.7 9 Acts of Nature Strong 1.1 2 Getting better Getting worse Flat 105 THE CHANGING WORLD ORDER JAPAN—KEY DRIVERS OF OUR COUNTRY POWER SCORE Overall Empire Score (0–1) Level: 0.30 Rank: 5 The Big Cycles Level Z-Score Rank Trajectory Economic/Financial Position Unfavorable -1.1 7 Debt Burden Moderately High Debt -0.4 7 Expected Growth 0.0% -1.1 11 Internal Order Low Risk 1.0 1 Wealth/Opportunity/Values Gap Narrow 0.9 2 Internal Conflict Low 1.1 2 External Order Eight Key Measures of Power Reserve Currency Status Weak -0.5 3 Education Average 0.2 4 Innovation & Technology Average 0.2 4 Markets & Financial Center Average 0.1 4 Cost Competitiveness Average -0.3 4 Trade Average -0.5 5 Military Strength Average -0.1 6 Economic Output Average -0.3 7 Additional Measures of Power Governance/Rule of Law Strong 0.8 3 Character/Determination/Civility Average 0.5 4 Infrastructure & Investment Average -0.2 4 Resource-Allocation Efficiency Average 0.1 6 Geology Weak -1.1 11 Acts of Nature Strong 1.5 1 Getting better Getting worse Flat